predicted sports
← UFC 316
Waldo Cortes Acosta
17-3 · Orthodox
vs
Serghei Spivac
18-6 · Orthodox
Heavyweight
Result
Waldo Cortes Acosta def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
78"
Reach
78"
34
Age
31
5.34
SLpM
3.57
48%
Str. Acc.
47%
3.63
SApM
4.23
54%
Str. Def.
52%
0.40
TD Avg.
3.82
73%
TD Def.
63%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
0.50

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Heavyweight
221 fights · edge Serghei Spivac
60%
the rating favorite wins at Heavyweight
201 fights · edge Waldo Cortes Acosta
58%
of Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
221 fights
By the Numbers
Waldo Cortes Acosta finishes 38% · finished 0% (13 fights)
As the rating favorite 89% (8-1)
Vs orthodox 83% (10-2)
In the small (APEX) cage 83% (5-1)
When younger than opponent 78% (7-2)
Serghei Spivac finishes 42% · finished 25% (12 fights)
With a reach advantage 100% (2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 83% (5-1)
As the rating favorite 75% (6-2)
When younger than opponent 67% (8-4)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.