predicted sports
← UFC 316
Kevin Holland
29-15 (1 NC) · Orthodox
vs
Vicente Luque
24-12-1 · Orthodox
Welterweight
Result
Kevin Holland def.
SUB · R2 1:03
Tale of the Tape
81"
Reach
75"
33
Age
34
4.24
SLpM
4.80
49%
Str. Acc.
50%
3.21
SApM
5.24
50%
Str. Def.
51%
0.79
TD Avg.
0.89
57%
TD Def.
59%
0.60
Sub. Avg.
0.70

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Kevin Holland
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Kevin Holland
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Kevin Holland
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
By the Numbers
Kevin Holland finishes 41% · finished 18% (22 fights)
Vs orthodox 64% (7-4)
When younger than opponent 59% (10-7)
As the rating underdog 58% (7-5)
With a reach advantage 55% (12-10)
Vicente Luque finishes 45% · finished 27% (11 fights)
When younger than opponent 75% (6-2)
With a reach advantage 75% (3-1)
As the rating underdog 60% (3-2)
Vs southpaws 60% (3-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.