predicted sports
← UFC 316
Mario Bautista
17-3 · Switch
vs
Patchy Mix
20-3 · Southpaw
Bantamweight
Result
Mario Bautista def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
69"
Reach
70"
32
Age
32
5.30
SLpM
5.30
48%
Str. Acc.
43%
3.98
SApM
7.30
54%
Str. Def.
43%
1.91
TD Avg.
2.50
55%
TD Def.
0%
0.80
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

59%
younger fighters win at Bantamweight
349 fights · edge Patchy Mix
50%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Bantamweight
303 fights · edge Patchy Mix
58%
the rating favorite wins at Bantamweight
305 fights · edge Mario Bautista
43%
of Bantamweight fights end inside the distance
349 fights
By the Numbers
Mario Bautista finishes 36% · finished 9% (11 fights)
With a reach advantage 100% (3-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (6-0)
As the rating favorite 86% (6-1)
When younger than opponent 83% (5-1)
Patchy Mix finishes 0% · finished 0% (2 fights)
As the rating underdog 0% (0-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.