predicted sports
← UFC 316
Joe Pyfer
16-3 · Orthodox
vs
Kelvin Gastelum
21-11 (1 NC) · Southpaw
Middleweight
Result
Joe Pyfer def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
75"
Reach
71"
29
Age
34
3.52
SLpM
3.65
44%
Str. Acc.
42%
3.22
SApM
3.52
52%
Str. Def.
57%
1.45
TD Avg.
1.04
62%
TD Def.
60%
0.90
Sub. Avg.
0.10

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Middleweight
379 fights · edge Joe Pyfer
52%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Middleweight
341 fights · edge Joe Pyfer
60%
the rating favorite wins at Middleweight
343 fights · edge Joe Pyfer
58%
of Middleweight fights end inside the distance
379 fights
By the Numbers
Joe Pyfer finishes 75% · finished 0% (8 fights)
Vs southpaws 100% (2-0)
With a reach advantage 100% (4-0)
When younger than opponent 88% (7-1)
As the rating favorite 86% (6-1)
Kelvin Gastelum finishes 0% · finished 30% (10 fights)
When younger than opponent 50% (3-3)
As the rating favorite 50% (1-1)
Giving up reach 40% (4-6)
As the rating underdog 38% (3-5)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.