predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Marvin Vettori
19-10-1 · Southpaw
vs
Jack Hermansson
24-10 · Orthodox
Middleweight · APEX cage
Result
Marvin Vettori def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
74"
Reach
77"
32
Age
38
4.74
SLpM
5.15
45%
Str. Acc.
45%
4.55
SApM
3.72
56%
Str. Def.
56%
1.41
TD Avg.
1.48
68%
TD Def.
80%
0.40
Sub. Avg.
0.40

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Middleweight
379 fights · edge Marvin Vettori
52%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Middleweight
341 fights · edge Jack Hermansson
60%
the rating favorite wins at Middleweight
343 fights · edge Jack Hermansson
58%
of Middleweight fights end inside the distance
379 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Marvin Vettori finishes 0% · finished 0% (10 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage 60% (3-2)
As the rating favorite 50% (1-1)
Vs orthodox 50% (4-4)
In 5-round fights 50% (3-3)
Jack Hermansson finishes 11% · finished 33% (9 fights)
As the rating underdog 50% (3-3)
Vs southpaws 50% (1-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 50% (2-2)
With a reach advantage 44% (4-5)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.