predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Jared Gordon
21-9 (1 NC) · Orthodox
vs
Thiago Moises
19-10 · Orthodox
Lightweight · APEX cage
Result
Jared Gordon def.
KO/TKO · R1 3:37
Tale of the Tape
68"
Reach
70"
37
Age
31
5.57
SLpM
2.52
53%
Str. Acc.
42%
4.11
SApM
4.40
55%
Str. Def.
52%
1.91
TD Avg.
1.37
60%
TD Def.
52%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
1.10

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Thiago Moises
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Thiago Moises
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Jared Gordon
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Jared Gordon finishes 18% · finished 27% (11 fights)
When younger than opponent 75% (3-1)
Vs orthodox 75% (6-2)
In the small (APEX) cage 75% (3-1)
As the rating underdog 67% (2-1)
Thiago Moises finishes 25% · finished 33% (12 fights)
As the rating favorite 67% (4-2)
Giving up reach 67% (6-3)
Vs orthodox 63% (5-3)
In the small (APEX) cage 63% (5-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.