predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Gabe Green
12-5 · Switch
vs
Matheus Camilo
11-3 · Orthodox
Lightweight · APEX cage
Result
Gabe Green def.
SUB · R2 3:43
Tale of the Tape
73"
Reach
69"
33
Age
25
5.60
SLpM
2.22
45%
Str. Acc.
43%
6.19
SApM
3.05
47%
Str. Def.
66%
0.71
TD Avg.
4.16
50%
TD Def.
0%
0.50
Sub. Avg.
0.60

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Matheus Camilo
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Gabe Green
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Matheus Camilo
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Gabe Green finishes 40% · finished 20% (5 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (2-0)
As the rating underdog 67% (2-1)
Vs orthodox 60% (3-2)
Matheus Camilo finishes 33% · finished 33% (3 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (2-0)
When younger than opponent 67% (2-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.