predicted sports
← UFC 315
Navajo Stirling
10-0 · Orthodox
vs
Ivan Erslan
15-6 (1 NC) · Orthodox
Light Heavyweight
Result
Navajo Stirling def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
79"
Reach
72"
28
Age
34
6.24
SLpM
2.53
54%
Str. Acc.
49%
2.62
SApM
4.57
58%
Str. Def.
54%
0.86
TD Avg.
0.93
71%
TD Def.
70%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

54%
younger fighters win at Light Heavyweight
214 fights · edge Navajo Stirling
51%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Light Heavyweight
184 fights · edge Navajo Stirling
61%
the rating favorite wins at Light Heavyweight
195 fights · edge Navajo Stirling
66%
of Light Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
214 fights
By the Numbers
Navajo Stirling finishes 40% · finished 0% (5 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (5-0)
As the rating favorite 100% (4-0)
Vs orthodox 100% (4-0)
With a reach advantage 100% (5-0)
Ivan Erslan finishes 0% · finished 25% (4 fights)
As the rating underdog 33% (1-2)
Vs orthodox 33% (1-2)
Giving up reach 25% (1-3)
When older than opponent 0% (0-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.