predicted sports
← UFC 315
Natalia Silva
20-5-1 · Southpaw
vs
Alexa Grasso
17-5-1 · Orthodox
Women's Flyweight
Result
Natalia Silva def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
65"
Reach
66"
29
Age
32
4.81
SLpM
4.11
45%
Str. Acc.
41%
2.36
SApM
3.71
66%
Str. Def.
58%
0.43
TD Avg.
0.40
90%
TD Def.
54%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.70

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

58%
younger fighters win at Women's Flyweight
187 fights · edge Natalia Silva
49%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Women's Flyweight
162 fights · edge Alexa Grasso
63%
the rating favorite wins at Women's Flyweight
168 fights · edge Natalia Silva
37%
of Women's Flyweight fights end inside the distance
188 fights
By the Numbers
Natalia Silva finishes 25% · finished 0% (8 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (7-0)
As the rating favorite 100% (7-0)
Vs orthodox 100% (8-0)
With a reach advantage 100% (2-0)
Alexa Grasso finishes 38% · finished 0% (8 fights)
Vs orthodox 100% (3-0)
Giving up reach 100% (2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (2-0)
When younger than opponent 80% (4-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.