predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Mason Jones
18-2 (1 NC) · Orthodox
vs
Jeremy Stephens
29-23 (1 NC) · Orthodox
Lightweight
Result
Mason Jones def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
74"
Reach
71"
31
Age
40
5.98
SLpM
3.13
42%
Str. Acc.
40%
4.45
SApM
3.25
50%
Str. Def.
57%
3.48
TD Avg.
1.10
73%
TD Def.
61%
0.20
Sub. Avg.
0.40

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Mason Jones
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Mason Jones
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Mason Jones
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Mason Jones finishes 17% · finished 0% (6 fights)
When older than opponent 100% (2-0)
As the rating underdog 75% (3-1)
Vs orthodox 75% (3-1)
When younger than opponent 50% (2-2)
Jeremy Stephens finishes 0% · finished 67% (3 fights)
When older than opponent 0% (0-3)
As the rating underdog 0% (0-3)
Vs orthodox 0% (0-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.