predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Daniel Rodriguez
20-5 · Southpaw
vs
Santiago Ponzinibbio
31-9 · Orthodox
Welterweight
Result
Daniel Rodriguez def.
KO/TKO · R3 1:12
Tale of the Tape
74"
Reach
73"
39
Age
39
7.20
SLpM
4.78
49%
Str. Acc.
41%
5.40
SApM
4.68
57%
Str. Def.
61%
0.51
TD Avg.
0.60
64%
TD Def.
71%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Daniel Rodriguez
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Daniel Rodriguez
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Daniel Rodriguez
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
By the Numbers
Daniel Rodriguez finishes 25% · finished 17% (12 fights)
As the rating underdog 83% (5-1)
With a reach advantage 83% (5-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 83% (5-1)
Giving up reach 75% (3-1)
Santiago Ponzinibbio finishes 22% · finished 33% (9 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage 67% (2-1)
Vs orthodox 43% (3-4)
Giving up reach 40% (2-3)
When older than opponent 38% (3-5)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.