predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Ian Machado Garry
17-1 · Orthodox
vs
Carlos Prates
24-7 · Switch
Welterweight
Result
Ian Machado Garry def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
74"
Reach
78"
28
Age
32
4.78
SLpM
4.41
54%
Str. Acc.
54%
2.86
SApM
4.30
52%
Str. Def.
47%
0.92
TD Avg.
0.18
80%
TD Def.
77%
0.40
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Ian Machado Garry
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Carlos Prates
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Carlos Prates
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
By the Numbers
Ian Machado Garry finishes 27% · finished 0% (11 fights)
As the rating favorite 100% (8-0)
Vs southpaws 100% (3-0)
With a reach advantage 100% (4-0)
When younger than opponent 91% (10-1)
Carlos Prates finishes 88% · finished 0% (8 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (6-0)
As the rating underdog 100% (2-0)
Vs southpaws 100% (2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (2-0)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.