predicted sports
← UFC 314
Julian Erosa
31-14 · Southpaw
vs
Darren Elkins
29-12 · Orthodox
Featherweight
Result
Julian Erosa def.
KO/TKO · R1 4:15
Tale of the Tape
74"
Reach
71"
36
Age
42
6.18
SLpM
3.40
48%
Str. Acc.
38%
6.31
SApM
3.34
48%
Str. Def.
51%
1.73
TD Avg.
2.87
61%
TD Def.
56%
0.70
Sub. Avg.
1.10

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

55%
younger fighters win at Featherweight
365 fights · edge Julian Erosa
50%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Featherweight
315 fights · edge Julian Erosa
55%
the rating favorite wins at Featherweight
320 fights · edge Darren Elkins
49%
of Featherweight fights end inside the distance
365 fights
By the Numbers
Julian Erosa finishes 46% · finished 31% (13 fights)
As the rating underdog 83% (5-1)
Vs orthodox 70% (7-3)
With a reach advantage 70% (7-3)
When younger than opponent 67% (2-1)
Darren Elkins finishes 38% · finished 25% (8 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage 83% (5-1)
Vs orthodox 80% (4-1)
With a reach advantage 80% (4-1)
As the rating favorite 75% (3-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.