predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Brandon Moreno
23-10-2 · Orthodox
vs
Steve Erceg
14-4 · Orthodox
Flyweight
Result
Brandon Moreno def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
70"
Reach
68"
32
Age
30
3.84
SLpM
4.64
44%
Str. Acc.
47%
3.64
SApM
4.07
59%
Str. Def.
55%
1.36
TD Avg.
1.13
65%
TD Def.
67%
0.40
Sub. Avg.
0.40

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

57%
younger fighters win at Flyweight
209 fights · edge Steve Erceg
48%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Flyweight
186 fights · edge Brandon Moreno
59%
the rating favorite wins at Flyweight
193 fights · edge Steve Erceg
50%
of Flyweight fights end inside the distance
209 fights
By the Numbers
Brandon Moreno finishes 36% · finished 9% (11 fights)
As the rating underdog 75% (3-1)
When younger than opponent 63% (5-3)
With a reach advantage 60% (6-4)
In title fights 60% (3-2)
Steve Erceg finishes 13% · finished 13% (8 fights)
Vs southpaws 100% (2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (2-0)
As the rating underdog 67% (2-1)
With a reach advantage 67% (2-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.