predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Miguel Baeza
10-4 · Orthodox
vs
Takashi Sato
16-7 · Southpaw
Welterweight · APEX cage
Result
Miguel Baeza def.
SUB · R2 4:28
Tale of the Tape
74"
Reach
73"
33
Age
36
4.09
SLpM
2.21
49%
Str. Acc.
41%
5.92
SApM
3.73
46%
Str. Def.
44%
0.36
TD Avg.
0.76
54%
TD Def.
60%
2.00
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Miguel Baeza
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Miguel Baeza
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Miguel Baeza
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Miguel Baeza finishes 20% · finished 40% (5 fights)
When younger than opponent 50% (1-1)
Vs southpaws 50% (1-1)
As the rating underdog 33% (1-2)
With a reach advantage 33% (1-2)
Takashi Sato finishes 20% · finished 40% (5 fights)
When younger than opponent 50% (1-1)
With a reach advantage 50% (1-1)
As the rating underdog 33% (1-2)
Vs orthodox 25% (1-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.