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Lightweight
Result
Chris Padilla def.
S-DEC
Tale of the Tape
74"
Reach
77"
30
Age
38
6.19
SLpM
3.19
54%
Str. Acc.
41%
4.88
SApM
3.34
49%
Str. Def.
52%
1.13
TD Avg.
0.42
80%
TD Def.
66%
0.30
Sub. Avg.
0.00
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Chris Padilla
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Jai Herbert
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Chris Padilla
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Chris Padilla
finishes 75% · finished 0% (4 fights)
When older than opponent
100%
(3-0)
As the rating favorite
100%
(3-0)
Vs orthodox
100%
(4-0)
With a reach advantage
100%
(3-0)
Jai Herbert
finishes 22% · finished 33% (9 fights)
As the rating favorite
100%
(3-0)
When younger than opponent
50%
(1-1)
In the small (APEX) cage
50%
(1-1)
With a reach advantage
44%
(4-5)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.