predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Kevin Holland
29-15 (1 NC) · Orthodox
vs
Gunnar Nelson
19-6-1 · Switch
Welterweight
Result
Kevin Holland def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
81"
Reach
72"
33
Age
37
4.24
SLpM
1.77
49%
Str. Acc.
61%
3.21
SApM
3.06
50%
Str. Def.
48%
0.79
TD Avg.
2.00
57%
TD Def.
68%
0.60
Sub. Avg.
1.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Kevin Holland
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Kevin Holland
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Kevin Holland
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
By the Numbers
Kevin Holland finishes 41% · finished 18% (22 fights)
Vs orthodox 64% (7-4)
When younger than opponent 59% (10-7)
As the rating underdog 58% (7-5)
With a reach advantage 55% (12-10)
Gunnar Nelson finishes 33% · finished 0% (3 fights)
Vs southpaws 100% (2-0)
When older than opponent 67% (2-1)
As the rating favorite 50% (1-1)
Giving up reach 50% (1-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.