predicted sports
← UFC 313
Magomed Ankalaev
21-2-1 (1 NC) · Orthodox
vs
Alex Pereira
13-4 · Orthodox
Light Heavyweight · Title
Result
Magomed Ankalaev def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
75"
Reach
79"
34
Age
38
3.65
SLpM
5.01
52%
Str. Acc.
61%
2.59
SApM
3.72
56%
Str. Def.
52%
0.79
TD Avg.
0.11
87%
TD Def.
80%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.20

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

54%
younger fighters win at Light Heavyweight
214 fights · edge Magomed Ankalaev
51%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Light Heavyweight
184 fights · edge Alex Pereira
61%
the rating favorite wins at Light Heavyweight
195 fights · edge Alex Pereira
66%
of Light Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
214 fights
46%
of title fights go the distance
127 fights
By the Numbers
Magomed Ankalaev finishes 33% · finished 11% (9 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (3-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (3-0)
When younger than opponent 88% (7-1)
Vs orthodox 88% (7-1)
Alex Pereira finishes 62% · finished 15% (13 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (3-0)
Vs southpaws 100% (2-0)
With a reach advantage 86% (6-1)
Vs orthodox 78% (7-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.