predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Melquizael Costa
26-8 · Southpaw
vs
Andre Fili
25-14 (1 NC) · Orthodox
Featherweight
Result
Melquizael Costa def.
SUB · R1 4:30
Tale of the Tape
71"
Reach
74"
29
Age
36
4.29
SLpM
3.89
47%
Str. Acc.
37%
3.19
SApM
4.55
50%
Str. Def.
49%
1.53
TD Avg.
2.24
50%
TD Def.
71%
0.80
Sub. Avg.
0.20

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

55%
younger fighters win at Featherweight
365 fights · edge Melquizael Costa
50%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Featherweight
315 fights · edge Andre Fili
55%
the rating favorite wins at Featherweight
320 fights · edge Melquizael Costa
49%
of Featherweight fights end inside the distance
365 fights
By the Numbers
Melquizael Costa finishes 40% · finished 20% (10 fights)
Vs orthodox 86% (6-1)
As the rating favorite 75% (3-1)
When younger than opponent 67% (6-3)
As the rating underdog 67% (4-2)
Andre Fili finishes 9% · finished 36% (11 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (2-0)
Vs orthodox 50% (3-3)
As the rating underdog 40% (4-6)
With a reach advantage 40% (4-6)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.