← UFC 312
Lightweight
Result
Tom Nolan def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
73"
Reach
69"
26
Age
34
4.84
SLpM
5.10
45%
Str. Acc.
50%
3.74
SApM
4.46
48%
Str. Def.
57%
1.08
TD Avg.
0.00
58%
TD Def.
43%
1.40
Sub. Avg.
0.10
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Tom Nolan
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Tom Nolan
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Tom Nolan
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Tom Nolan
finishes 33% · finished 17% (6 fights)
As the rating underdog
100%
(3-0)
When younger than opponent
83%
(5-1)
Vs orthodox
83%
(5-1)
With a reach advantage
75%
(3-1)
Viacheslav Borshchev
finishes 22% · finished 22% (9 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage
75%
(3-1)
As the rating favorite
50%
(2-2)
Vs orthodox
50%
(3-3)
Giving up reach
38%
(3-5)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.