predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Shamil Gaziev
14-3 · Orthodox
vs
Thomas Petersen
11-4 · Southpaw
Heavyweight
Result
Shamil Gaziev def.
KO/TKO · R1 3:12
Tale of the Tape
78"
Reach
74"
36
Age
31
2.94
SLpM
3.10
46%
Str. Acc.
59%
4.92
SApM
2.61
45%
Str. Def.
54%
1.06
TD Avg.
3.01
83%
TD Def.
87%
0.30
Sub. Avg.
0.40

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Heavyweight
221 fights · edge Thomas Petersen
57%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Heavyweight
187 fights · edge Shamil Gaziev
60%
the rating favorite wins at Heavyweight
201 fights · edge Shamil Gaziev
58%
of Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
221 fights
By the Numbers
Shamil Gaziev finishes 33% · finished 50% (6 fights)
With a reach advantage 100% (2-0)
When older than opponent 60% (3-2)
As the rating favorite 50% (1-1)
As the rating underdog 50% (2-2)
Thomas Petersen finishes 0% · finished 33% (6 fights)
When younger than opponent 75% (3-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 67% (2-1)
As the rating favorite 50% (1-1)
As the rating underdog 50% (2-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.