predicted sports
← UFC 255
Paul Craig
17-10-1 (1 NC) · Orthodox
vs
Mauricio Rua
27-14-1 · Orthodox
Light Heavyweight
Result
Paul Craig def.
KO/TKO · R2 3:36
Tale of the Tape
76"
Reach
76"
38
Age
44
2.50
SLpM
3.57
45%
Str. Acc.
50%
3.04
SApM
2.79
43%
Str. Def.
54%
1.43
TD Avg.
2.01
35%
TD Def.
49%
1.30
Sub. Avg.
0.70

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

54%
younger fighters win at Light Heavyweight
214 fights · edge Paul Craig
61%
the rating favorite wins at Light Heavyweight
195 fights · edge Paul Craig
66%
of Light Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
214 fights
By the Numbers
Paul Craig finishes 45% · finished 36% (11 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (2-0)
Giving up reach 75% (3-1)
As the rating favorite 50% (3-3)
Vs southpaws 50% (2-2)
Mauricio Rua finishes 0% · finished 50% (4 fights)
With a reach advantage 50% (1-1)
As the rating underdog 33% (1-2)
Vs southpaws 33% (1-2)
When older than opponent 0% (0-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.