predicted sports
← UFC 311
Grant Dawson
24-3-1 · Switch
vs
Diego Ferreira
19-7 · Orthodox
Lightweight
Result
Grant Dawson def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
72"
Reach
74"
32
Age
41
3.14
SLpM
4.70
51%
Str. Acc.
39%
2.14
SApM
3.46
44%
Str. Def.
55%
3.58
TD Avg.
0.82
66%
TD Def.
57%
1.40
Sub. Avg.
0.60

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Grant Dawson
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Diego Ferreira
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Grant Dawson
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Grant Dawson finishes 45% · finished 18% (11 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (3-0)
When younger than opponent 89% (8-1)
Vs orthodox 89% (8-1)
With a reach advantage 83% (5-1)
Diego Ferreira finishes 29% · finished 43% (7 fights)
Vs southpaws 50% (2-2)
When older than opponent 29% (2-5)
As the rating underdog 29% (2-5)
With a reach advantage 29% (2-5)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.