predicted sports
← UFC 311
Reinier de Ridder
21-4 · Southpaw
vs
Kevin Holland
29-15 (1 NC) · Orthodox
Middleweight
Result
Reinier de Ridder def.
SUB · R1 3:31
Tale of the Tape
78"
Reach
81"
35
Age
33
2.47
SLpM
4.24
48%
Str. Acc.
49%
2.36
SApM
3.21
46%
Str. Def.
50%
2.56
TD Avg.
0.79
40%
TD Def.
57%
0.60
Sub. Avg.
0.60

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Middleweight
379 fights · edge Kevin Holland
52%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Middleweight
341 fights · edge Kevin Holland
60%
the rating favorite wins at Middleweight
343 fights · edge Reinier de Ridder
58%
of Middleweight fights end inside the distance
379 fights
By the Numbers
Reinier de Ridder finishes 50% · finished 17% (6 fights)
Vs southpaws 67% (2-1)
Vs orthodox 67% (2-1)
When older than opponent 60% (3-2)
As the rating favorite 60% (3-2)
Kevin Holland finishes 41% · finished 18% (22 fights)
Vs orthodox 64% (7-4)
When younger than opponent 59% (10-7)
As the rating underdog 58% (7-5)
With a reach advantage 55% (12-10)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.