predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Ernesta Kareckaite
6-2-1 · Orthodox
vs
Nicolle Caliari
9-4 · Orthodox
Women's Flyweight · APEX cage
Result
Ernesta Kareckaite def.
S-DEC
Tale of the Tape
71"
Reach
62"
27
Age
29
7.28
SLpM
2.88
42%
Str. Acc.
39%
6.47
SApM
5.59
49%
Str. Def.
52%
0.75
TD Avg.
3.38
81%
TD Def.
50%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
1.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

58%
younger fighters win at Women's Flyweight
187 fights · edge Ernesta Kareckaite
49%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Women's Flyweight
162 fights · edge Ernesta Kareckaite
63%
the rating favorite wins at Women's Flyweight
168 fights · edge Nicolle Caliari
37%
of Women's Flyweight fights end inside the distance
188 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Ernesta Kareckaite finishes 0% · finished 0% (3 fights)
When younger than opponent 50% (1-1)
Vs orthodox 50% (1-1)
As the rating underdog 33% (1-2)
With a reach advantage 33% (1-2)
Nicolle Caliari finishes 33% · finished 33% (3 fights)
As the rating underdog 50% (1-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 50% (1-1)
Giving up reach 33% (1-2)
When older than opponent 0% (0-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.