← UFC Fight Night
Lightweight
· APEX cage
Result
Thiago Moises def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
70"
Reach
72"
31
Age
36
2.52
SLpM
3.20
42%
Str. Acc.
50%
4.40
SApM
3.49
52%
Str. Def.
55%
1.37
TD Avg.
1.89
52%
TD Def.
100%
1.10
Sub. Avg.
0.70
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Thiago Moises
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Trey Ogden
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Trey Ogden
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Thiago Moises
finishes 25% · finished 33% (12 fights)
As the rating favorite
67%
(4-2)
Giving up reach
67%
(6-3)
Vs orthodox
63%
(5-3)
In the small (APEX) cage
63%
(5-3)
Trey Ogden
finishes 0% · finished 0% (6 fights)
As the rating underdog
60%
(3-2)
In the small (APEX) cage
60%
(3-2)
Vs orthodox
50%
(2-2)
With a reach advantage
50%
(2-2)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.