predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Mackenzie Dern
16-5 · Orthodox
vs
Amanda Ribas
13-7 · Orthodox
Women's Strawweight · APEX cage
Result
Mackenzie Dern def.
SUB · R3 4:56
Tale of the Tape
63"
Reach
66"
33
Age
32
3.47
SLpM
4.26
41%
Str. Acc.
39%
3.93
SApM
3.29
51%
Str. Def.
60%
0.93
TD Avg.
2.05
37%
TD Def.
82%
1.10
Sub. Avg.
0.60

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

57%
younger fighters win at Women's Strawweight
202 fights · edge Amanda Ribas
41%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Women's Strawweight
177 fights · edge Amanda Ribas
54%
the rating favorite wins at Women's Strawweight
181 fights · edge Mackenzie Dern
36%
of Women's Strawweight fights end inside the distance
202 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Mackenzie Dern finishes 25% · finished 8% (12 fights)
When older than opponent 100% (2-0)
As the rating underdog 83% (5-1)
Vs orthodox 73% (8-3)
Giving up reach 71% (5-2)
Amanda Ribas finishes 20% · finished 40% (10 fights)
Giving up reach 50% (1-1)
Vs orthodox 44% (4-5)
When younger than opponent 43% (3-4)
As the rating underdog 43% (3-4)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.