predicted sports
← UFC 310
Chase Hooper
16-5-1 · Southpaw
vs
Clay Guida
38-22 · Orthodox
Lightweight
Result
Chase Hooper def.
SUB · R1 3:41
Tale of the Tape
74"
Reach
70"
26
Age
44
4.50
SLpM
2.63
49%
Str. Acc.
33%
3.02
SApM
3.00
39%
Str. Def.
61%
2.43
TD Avg.
3.10
55%
TD Def.
66%
2.10
Sub. Avg.
0.60

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Chase Hooper
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Chase Hooper
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Chase Hooper
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Chase Hooper finishes 45% · finished 27% (11 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (2-0)
Vs southpaws 75% (3-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 75% (3-1)
With a reach advantage 70% (7-3)
Clay Guida finishes 13% · finished 25% (8 fights)
As the rating favorite 50% (2-2)
Vs orthodox 50% (2-2)
With a reach advantage 50% (1-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 50% (2-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.