predicted sports
← UFC 310
Vicente Luque
24-12-1 · Orthodox
vs
Themba Gorimbo
14-7 · Orthodox
Welterweight
Result
Vicente Luque def.
SUB · R1 0:52
Tale of the Tape
75"
Reach
77"
34
Age
35
4.80
SLpM
2.70
50%
Str. Acc.
56%
5.24
SApM
1.75
51%
Str. Def.
51%
0.89
TD Avg.
4.52
59%
TD Def.
73%
0.70
Sub. Avg.
0.40

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Vicente Luque
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Themba Gorimbo
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Vicente Luque
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
By the Numbers
Vicente Luque finishes 45% · finished 27% (11 fights)
When younger than opponent 75% (6-2)
With a reach advantage 75% (3-1)
As the rating underdog 60% (3-2)
Vs southpaws 60% (3-2)
Themba Gorimbo finishes 13% · finished 25% (8 fights)
When younger than opponent 67% (2-1)
Vs orthodox 67% (2-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 67% (4-2)
With a reach advantage 57% (4-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.