predicted sports
← UFC 310
Alexandre Pantoja
30-6 · Orthodox
vs
Kai Asakura
22-6 · Orthodox
Flyweight · Title
Result
Alexandre Pantoja def.
SUB · R2 2:05
Tale of the Tape
67"
Reach
69"
36
Age
32
4.38
SLpM
2.53
50%
Str. Acc.
34%
3.88
SApM
3.34
49%
Str. Def.
52%
2.79
TD Avg.
0.00
69%
TD Def.
50%
1.00
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

57%
younger fighters win at Flyweight
209 fights · edge Kai Asakura
48%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Flyweight
186 fights · edge Kai Asakura
59%
the rating favorite wins at Flyweight
193 fights · edge Alexandre Pantoja
50%
of Flyweight fights end inside the distance
209 fights
46%
of title fights go the distance
127 fights
By the Numbers
Alexandre Pantoja finishes 40% · finished 10% (10 fights)
Vs southpaws 100% (3-0)
Giving up reach 100% (7-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (2-0)
As the rating favorite 83% (5-1)
Kai Asakura finishes 33% · finished 67% (3 fights)
Vs orthodox 50% (1-1)
As the rating underdog 33% (1-2)
When younger than opponent 0% (0-2)
With a reach advantage 0% (0-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.