predicted sports
← UFC 309
Marcin Tybura
27-11 · Orthodox
vs
Jhonata Diniz
9-2 · Orthodox
Heavyweight
Result
Marcin Tybura def.
KO/TKO · R2 5:00
Tale of the Tape
78"
Reach
79"
40
Age
35
3.56
SLpM
3.89
48%
Str. Acc.
56%
3.26
SApM
3.62
55%
Str. Def.
56%
1.30
TD Avg.
0.00
70%
TD Def.
70%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Heavyweight
221 fights · edge Jhonata Diniz
57%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Heavyweight
187 fights · edge Jhonata Diniz
60%
the rating favorite wins at Heavyweight
201 fights · edge Marcin Tybura
58%
of Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
221 fights
By the Numbers
Marcin Tybura finishes 29% · finished 21% (14 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (3-0)
As the rating underdog 100% (5-0)
Vs southpaws 100% (4-0)
With a reach advantage 80% (4-1)
Jhonata Diniz finishes 20% · finished 40% (5 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (2-0)
When younger than opponent 67% (2-1)
As the rating favorite 67% (2-1)
Vs orthodox 60% (3-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.