predicted sports
← UFC 309
David Onama
14-3 · Orthodox
vs
Roberto Romero
8-5-1 · Orthodox
Lightweight
Result
David Onama def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
74"
Reach
70"
32
Age
26
5.07
SLpM
4.56
50%
Str. Acc.
49%
4.89
SApM
6.44
51%
Str. Def.
44%
1.05
TD Avg.
0.00
52%
TD Def.
71%
0.50
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Roberto Romero
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge David Onama
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge David Onama
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
David Onama finishes 33% · finished 11% (9 fights)
With a reach advantage 83% (5-1)
When older than opponent 75% (3-1)
As the rating underdog 75% (3-1)
Vs orthodox 67% (4-2)
Roberto Romero finishes 0% · finished 50% (2 fights)
When younger than opponent 0% (0-2)
Vs orthodox 0% (0-2)
Giving up reach 0% (0-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.