predicted sports
← UFC 309
Jim Miller
39-19 (1 NC) · Southpaw
vs
Damon Jackson
23-8-1 (1 NC) · Switch
Lightweight
Result
Jim Miller def.
SUB · R1 2:44
Tale of the Tape
71"
Reach
71"
42
Age
37
2.92
SLpM
2.96
42%
Str. Acc.
42%
3.43
SApM
3.47
56%
Str. Def.
49%
1.49
TD Avg.
2.30
47%
TD Def.
37%
1.70
Sub. Avg.
1.20

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Damon Jackson
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Jim Miller
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Jim Miller finishes 58% · finished 0% (12 fights)
As the rating favorite 80% (4-1)
With a reach advantage 67% (2-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 67% (4-2)
When older than opponent 60% (6-4)
Damon Jackson finishes 27% · finished 27% (11 fights)
Giving up reach 100% (2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 67% (6-3)
As the rating underdog 60% (3-2)
With a reach advantage 57% (4-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.