predicted sports
← UFC 309
Bo Nickal
9-1 · Southpaw
vs
Paul Craig
17-10-1 (1 NC) · Orthodox
Middleweight
Result
Bo Nickal def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
76"
Reach
76"
30
Age
38
3.36
SLpM
2.50
61%
Str. Acc.
45%
1.93
SApM
3.04
60%
Str. Def.
43%
3.12
TD Avg.
1.43
100%
TD Def.
35%
2.30
Sub. Avg.
1.30

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Middleweight
379 fights · edge Bo Nickal
60%
the rating favorite wins at Middleweight
343 fights · edge Bo Nickal
58%
of Middleweight fights end inside the distance
379 fights
By the Numbers
Bo Nickal finishes 71% · finished 14% (7 fights)
As the rating favorite 100% (6-0)
Vs orthodox 100% (5-0)
With a reach advantage 100% (3-0)
When younger than opponent 86% (6-1)
Paul Craig finishes 45% · finished 36% (11 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (2-0)
Giving up reach 75% (3-1)
As the rating favorite 50% (3-3)
Vs southpaws 50% (2-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.