predicted sports
← UFC 309
Jon Jones
28-1 (1 NC) · Orthodox
vs
Stipe Miocic
20-5 · Orthodox
Heavyweight · Title
Result
Jon Jones def.
KO/TKO · R3 4:29
Tale of the Tape
84"
Reach
80"
38
Age
43
4.38
SLpM
4.67
58%
Str. Acc.
52%
2.24
SApM
4.01
64%
Str. Def.
52%
1.89
TD Avg.
1.74
95%
TD Def.
65%
0.50
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Heavyweight
221 fights · edge Jon Jones
57%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Heavyweight
187 fights · edge Jon Jones
60%
the rating favorite wins at Heavyweight
201 fights · edge Jon Jones
58%
of Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
221 fights
46%
of title fights go the distance
127 fights
By the Numbers
Jon Jones finishes 100% · finished 0% (2 fights)
Vs orthodox 100% (2-0)
With a reach advantage 100% (2-0)
In title fights 100% (2-0)
In 5-round fights 100% (2-0)
Stipe Miocic finishes 0% · finished 67% (3 fights)
As the rating underdog 50% (1-1)
Vs orthodox 33% (1-2)
In title fights 33% (1-2)
In 5-round fights 33% (1-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.