predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Alexandr Romanov
18-3 · Southpaw
vs
Rodrigo Nascimento
11-3 (1 NC) · Orthodox
Heavyweight
Result
Alexandr Romanov def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
75"
Reach
80"
35
Age
33
3.78
SLpM
3.71
51%
Str. Acc.
47%
2.13
SApM
4.34
54%
Str. Def.
44%
4.49
TD Avg.
1.02
28%
TD Def.
60%
0.90
Sub. Avg.
0.50

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Heavyweight
221 fights · edge Rodrigo Nascimento
57%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Heavyweight
187 fights · edge Rodrigo Nascimento
60%
the rating favorite wins at Heavyweight
201 fights · edge Alexandr Romanov
58%
of Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
221 fights
By the Numbers
Alexandr Romanov finishes 40% · finished 20% (10 fights)
With a reach advantage 100% (2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 86% (6-1)
As the rating favorite 75% (6-2)
When younger than opponent 71% (5-2)
Rodrigo Nascimento finishes 0% · finished 33% (6 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (2-0)
Vs orthodox 60% (3-2)
When younger than opponent 50% (3-3)
As the rating favorite 50% (1-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.