predicted sports
← UFC 308
Mateusz Rebecki
20-5 · Southpaw
vs
Myktybek Orolbai
16-2-1 · Orthodox
Catch Weight
Result
Mateusz Rebecki def.
S-DEC
Tale of the Tape
66"
Reach
74"
33
Age
28
4.79
SLpM
2.78
46%
Str. Acc.
50%
4.36
SApM
2.70
54%
Str. Def.
51%
3.05
TD Avg.
8.77
53%
TD Def.
40%
0.40
Sub. Avg.
0.50

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

59%
younger fighters win across the UFC
3,067 fights · edge Myktybek Orolbai
51%
the longer-reach fighter wins across the UFC
2,686 fights · edge Myktybek Orolbai
59%
the rating favorite wins across the UFC
2,745 fights · edge Myktybek Orolbai
50%
of all UFC fights end inside the distance
3,068 fights
By the Numbers
Mateusz Rebecki finishes 25% · finished 25% (8 fights)
Vs orthodox 67% (4-2)
As the rating underdog 60% (3-2)
When younger than opponent 50% (1-1)
When older than opponent 50% (3-3)
Myktybek Orolbai finishes 50% · finished 0% (6 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (2-0)
Vs orthodox 100% (4-0)
Giving up reach 100% (2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (2-0)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.