predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Jean Matsumoto
18-2 · Orthodox
vs
Brad Katona
16-5 · Orthodox
Bantamweight · APEX cage
Result
Jean Matsumoto def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
68"
Reach
64"
26
Age
34
5.35
SLpM
4.81
38%
Str. Acc.
52%
5.29
SApM
4.75
49%
Str. Def.
50%
2.85
TD Avg.
1.86
56%
TD Def.
61%
0.50
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

59%
younger fighters win at Bantamweight
349 fights · edge Jean Matsumoto
50%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Bantamweight
303 fights · edge Jean Matsumoto
58%
the rating favorite wins at Bantamweight
305 fights · edge Jean Matsumoto
43%
of Bantamweight fights end inside the distance
349 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Jean Matsumoto finishes 17% · finished 0% (6 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage 75% (3-1)
When younger than opponent 67% (4-2)
As the rating favorite 67% (2-1)
As the rating underdog 67% (2-1)
Brad Katona finishes 0% · finished 20% (5 fights)
As the rating underdog 50% (1-1)
Vs orthodox 40% (2-3)
Giving up reach 40% (2-3)
As the rating favorite 33% (1-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.