← UFC Fight Night
Flyweight
· APEX cage
Result
Asu Almabayev def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
65"
Reach
66"
32
Age
33
2.28
SLpM
3.31
51%
Str. Acc.
51%
1.94
SApM
2.98
53%
Str. Def.
65%
4.74
TD Avg.
1.22
44%
TD Def.
90%
1.40
Sub. Avg.
0.80
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
57%
younger fighters win at Flyweight
209 fights · edge Asu Almabayev
48%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Flyweight
186 fights · edge Matheus Nicolau
59%
the rating favorite wins at Flyweight
193 fights · edge Asu Almabayev
50%
of Flyweight fights end inside the distance
209 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Asu Almabayev
finishes 38% · finished 13% (8 fights)
When older than opponent
100%
(2-0)
As the rating favorite
100%
(6-0)
Vs orthodox
100%
(4-0)
Giving up reach
86%
(6-1)
Matheus Nicolau
finishes 14% · finished 29% (7 fights)
Giving up reach
75%
(3-1)
As the rating underdog
67%
(2-1)
Vs southpaws
67%
(2-1)
When younger than opponent
60%
(3-2)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.