predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Darren Elkins
29-12 · Orthodox
vs
Daniel Pineda
28-17 (3 NC) · Orthodox
Featherweight · APEX cage
Result
Darren Elkins def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
71"
Reach
69"
42
Age
40
3.40
SLpM
2.85
38%
Str. Acc.
49%
3.34
SApM
3.26
51%
Str. Def.
45%
2.87
TD Avg.
1.42
56%
TD Def.
54%
1.10
Sub. Avg.
1.50

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

55%
younger fighters win at Featherweight
365 fights · edge Daniel Pineda
50%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Featherweight
315 fights · edge Darren Elkins
55%
the rating favorite wins at Featherweight
320 fights · edge Darren Elkins
49%
of Featherweight fights end inside the distance
365 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Darren Elkins finishes 38% · finished 25% (8 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage 83% (5-1)
Vs orthodox 80% (4-1)
With a reach advantage 80% (4-1)
As the rating favorite 75% (3-1)
Daniel Pineda finishes 33% · finished 17% (6 fights)
When older than opponent 50% (2-2)
As the rating underdog 50% (2-2)
Vs orthodox 40% (2-3)
Giving up reach 40% (2-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.