predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Pat Sabatini
22-5 · Orthodox
vs
Jonathan Pearce
14-7 · Switch
Featherweight · APEX cage
Result
Pat Sabatini def.
SUB · R1 4:06
Tale of the Tape
70"
Reach
71"
35
Age
34
1.69
SLpM
5.12
54%
Str. Acc.
54%
1.16
SApM
3.32
54%
Str. Def.
54%
4.27
TD Avg.
5.02
50%
TD Def.
55%
1.30
Sub. Avg.
0.80

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

55%
younger fighters win at Featherweight
365 fights · edge Jonathan Pearce
50%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Featherweight
315 fights · edge Jonathan Pearce
55%
the rating favorite wins at Featherweight
320 fights · edge Pat Sabatini
49%
of Featherweight fights end inside the distance
365 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Pat Sabatini finishes 27% · finished 18% (11 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (5-0)
With a reach advantage 100% (3-0)
When older than opponent 88% (7-1)
Vs orthodox 88% (7-1)
Jonathan Pearce finishes 38% · finished 25% (8 fights)
When younger than opponent 75% (3-1)
As the rating favorite 57% (4-3)
Vs orthodox 57% (4-3)
When older than opponent 50% (2-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.