predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Daniel Rodriguez
20-5 · Southpaw
vs
Alex Morono
24-13 (1 NC) · Orthodox
Welterweight · APEX cage
Result
Daniel Rodriguez def.
S-DEC
Tale of the Tape
74"
Reach
72"
39
Age
35
7.20
SLpM
4.90
49%
Str. Acc.
39%
5.40
SApM
4.88
57%
Str. Def.
55%
0.51
TD Avg.
0.32
64%
TD Def.
47%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
0.30

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Alex Morono
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Daniel Rodriguez
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Daniel Rodriguez
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Daniel Rodriguez finishes 25% · finished 17% (12 fights)
As the rating underdog 83% (5-1)
With a reach advantage 83% (5-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 83% (5-1)
Giving up reach 75% (3-1)
Alex Morono finishes 14% · finished 14% (14 fights)
As the rating underdog 67% (2-1)
Giving up reach 58% (7-5)
In the small (APEX) cage 56% (5-4)
When younger than opponent 50% (4-4)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.