← UFC Fight Night
Lightweight
· APEX cage
Result
Grant Dawson def.
KO/TKO · R2 1:42
Tale of the Tape
72"
Reach
70"
32
Age
31
3.14
SLpM
4.28
51%
Str. Acc.
44%
2.14
SApM
4.42
44%
Str. Def.
61%
3.58
TD Avg.
3.22
66%
TD Def.
77%
1.40
Sub. Avg.
0.40
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Rafa Garcia
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Grant Dawson
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Rafa Garcia
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Grant Dawson
finishes 45% · finished 18% (11 fights)
As the rating underdog
100%
(3-0)
When younger than opponent
89%
(8-1)
Vs orthodox
89%
(8-1)
With a reach advantage
83%
(5-1)
Rafa Garcia
finishes 18% · finished 9% (11 fights)
Vs orthodox
71%
(5-2)
When younger than opponent
67%
(6-3)
As the rating favorite
67%
(2-1)
Vs southpaws
67%
(2-1)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.