predicted sports
← UFC 307
Tecia Pennington
15-8 · Orthodox
vs
Carla Esparza
20-8 · Orthodox
Women's Strawweight
Result
Tecia Pennington def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
60"
Reach
63"
36
Age
38
4.73
SLpM
2.19
48%
Str. Acc.
39%
3.48
SApM
2.87
61%
Str. Def.
54%
0.56
TD Avg.
3.28
62%
TD Def.
47%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
0.30

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

57%
younger fighters win at Women's Strawweight
202 fights · edge Tecia Pennington
41%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Women's Strawweight
177 fights · edge Carla Esparza
54%
the rating favorite wins at Women's Strawweight
181 fights · edge Tecia Pennington
36%
of Women's Strawweight fights end inside the distance
202 fights
By the Numbers
Tecia Pennington finishes 14% · finished 0% (7 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (2-0)
As the rating favorite 67% (2-1)
Vs orthodox 57% (4-3)
Giving up reach 57% (4-3)
Carla Esparza finishes 20% · finished 20% (5 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (2-0)
Giving up reach 100% (2-0)
Vs orthodox 75% (3-1)
When older than opponent 50% (2-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.