predicted sports
← UFC 307
Ryan Spann
24-11 · Orthodox
vs
Ovince Saint Preux
27-18 · Southpaw
Light Heavyweight
Result
Ryan Spann def.
SUB · R1 1:35
Tale of the Tape
79"
Reach
80"
34
Age
43
3.11
SLpM
3.03
39%
Str. Acc.
47%
3.92
SApM
3.33
43%
Str. Def.
47%
1.21
TD Avg.
1.09
59%
TD Def.
67%
1.70
Sub. Avg.
0.50

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

54%
younger fighters win at Light Heavyweight
214 fights · edge Ryan Spann
51%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Light Heavyweight
184 fights · edge Ovince Saint Preux
61%
the rating favorite wins at Light Heavyweight
195 fights · edge Ryan Spann
66%
of Light Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
214 fights
By the Numbers
Ryan Spann finishes 50% · finished 42% (12 fights)
Vs southpaws 100% (3-0)
As the rating favorite 71% (5-2)
When younger than opponent 67% (4-2)
With a reach advantage 50% (5-5)
Ovince Saint Preux finishes 14% · finished 57% (7 fights)
As the rating underdog 50% (3-3)
Vs southpaws 50% (1-1)
Vs orthodox 40% (2-3)
In the small (APEX) cage 40% (2-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.