← UFC 307
Lightweight
Result
Alexander Hernandez def.
S-DEC
Tale of the Tape
72"
Reach
71"
33
Age
34
4.23
SLpM
3.97
40%
Str. Acc.
42%
4.45
SApM
4.10
59%
Str. Def.
55%
1.05
TD Avg.
1.63
68%
TD Def.
68%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
0.10
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Alexander Hernandez
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Alexander Hernandez
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Alexander Hernandez
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Alexander Hernandez
finishes 31% · finished 15% (13 fights)
Vs southpaws
100%
(2-0)
Giving up reach
67%
(2-1)
When younger than opponent
60%
(6-4)
As the rating underdog
57%
(4-3)
Austin Hubbard
finishes 0% · finished 25% (8 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage
50%
(2-2)
When older than opponent
33%
(2-4)
Giving up reach
33%
(1-2)
As the rating underdog
25%
(2-6)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.