predicted sports
← UFC 307
Joaquin Buckley
21-8 · Southpaw
vs
Stephen Thompson
17-9-1 · Orthodox
Welterweight
Result
Joaquin Buckley def.
KO/TKO · R3 2:17
Tale of the Tape
76"
Reach
75"
32
Age
43
3.62
SLpM
4.05
36%
Str. Acc.
46%
3.10
SApM
3.00
58%
Str. Def.
54%
1.43
TD Avg.
0.23
70%
TD Def.
63%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Joaquin Buckley
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Joaquin Buckley
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Joaquin Buckley
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
By the Numbers
Joaquin Buckley finishes 47% · finished 18% (17 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage 80% (4-1)
As the rating favorite 70% (7-3)
With a reach advantage 69% (9-4)
When younger than opponent 69% (11-5)
Stephen Thompson finishes 14% · finished 29% (7 fights)
In 5-round fights 100% (2-0)
Vs southpaws 50% (1-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 50% (1-1)
As the rating underdog 33% (2-4)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.