← UFC 307
Bantamweight
Result
Mario Bautista def.
S-DEC
Tale of the Tape
69"
Reach
70"
32
Age
39
5.30
SLpM
3.65
48%
Str. Acc.
46%
3.98
SApM
3.81
54%
Str. Def.
60%
1.91
TD Avg.
0.47
55%
TD Def.
92%
0.80
Sub. Avg.
0.10
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
59%
younger fighters win at Bantamweight
349 fights · edge Mario Bautista
50%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Bantamweight
303 fights · edge Jose Aldo
58%
the rating favorite wins at Bantamweight
305 fights · edge Mario Bautista
43%
of Bantamweight fights end inside the distance
349 fights
By the Numbers
Mario Bautista
finishes 36% · finished 9% (11 fights)
With a reach advantage
100%
(3-0)
In the small (APEX) cage
100%
(6-0)
As the rating favorite
86%
(6-1)
When younger than opponent
83%
(5-1)
Jose Aldo
finishes 0% · finished 13% (8 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage
100%
(2-0)
As the rating favorite
50%
(1-1)
As the rating underdog
50%
(3-3)
Vs orthodox
50%
(2-2)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.