predicted sports
← UFC 307
Alex Pereira
13-4 · Orthodox
vs
Khalil Rountree Jr.
15-7 (1 NC) · Southpaw
Light Heavyweight · Title
Result
Alex Pereira def.
KO/TKO · R4 4:32
Tale of the Tape
79"
Reach
76"
38
Age
36
5.01
SLpM
3.88
61%
Str. Acc.
40%
3.72
SApM
4.33
52%
Str. Def.
49%
0.11
TD Avg.
0.00
80%
TD Def.
58%
0.20
Sub. Avg.
0.10

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

54%
younger fighters win at Light Heavyweight
214 fights · edge Khalil Rountree Jr.
51%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Light Heavyweight
184 fights · edge Alex Pereira
61%
the rating favorite wins at Light Heavyweight
195 fights · edge Alex Pereira
66%
of Light Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
214 fights
46%
of title fights go the distance
127 fights
By the Numbers
Alex Pereira finishes 62% · finished 15% (13 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (3-0)
Vs southpaws 100% (2-0)
With a reach advantage 86% (6-1)
Vs orthodox 78% (7-2)
Khalil Rountree Jr. finishes 44% · finished 22% (9 fights)
Vs southpaws 100% (2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (5-0)
When older than opponent 75% (3-1)
As the rating favorite 75% (3-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.