predicted sports
← UFC 306
Diego Lopes
28-8 · Orthodox
vs
Brian Ortega
16-5 (1 NC) · Switch
Featherweight
Result
Diego Lopes def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
72"
Reach
69"
31
Age
35
3.79
SLpM
3.84
47%
Str. Acc.
37%
4.65
SApM
6.38
46%
Str. Def.
49%
0.82
TD Avg.
0.93
68%
TD Def.
54%
1.30
Sub. Avg.
0.90

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

55%
younger fighters win at Featherweight
365 fights · edge Diego Lopes
50%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Featherweight
315 fights · edge Diego Lopes
55%
the rating favorite wins at Featherweight
320 fights · edge Diego Lopes
49%
of Featherweight fights end inside the distance
365 fights
By the Numbers
Diego Lopes finishes 50% · finished 0% (10 fights)
Vs southpaws 100% (2-0)
As the rating underdog 75% (3-1)
With a reach advantage 75% (6-2)
When younger than opponent 67% (6-3)
Brian Ortega finishes 17% · finished 17% (6 fights)
As the rating underdog 50% (2-2)
When younger than opponent 33% (1-2)
When older than opponent 33% (1-2)
Vs orthodox 33% (2-4)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.